Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.820549 4.077173 4.350511 4.664723 5.017716 5.404131 5.862019
2025-09-28 3.375705 3.727120 4.123481 4.608957 5.195119 5.890287 6.793434
2025-10-05 3.144633 3.549760 4.024405 4.631824 5.404447 6.378329 7.741372
2025-10-12 3.000084 3.447507 3.988230 4.706213 5.661875 6.935006 8.848515
2025-10-19 2.884338 3.364143 3.959391 4.775418 5.906465 7.492508 10.047765
2025-10-26 2.772054 3.273042 3.908275 4.803098 6.088030 7.975352 11.223072
2025-11-02 2.653577 3.163992 3.822658 4.771410 6.174860 8.320623 12.239752
2025-11-09 2.512992 3.016879 3.675187 4.638571 6.094631 8.388017 12.773209
2025-11-16 2.404130 2.905435 3.568325 4.553765 6.075699 8.547133 13.508213
2025-11-23 2.346731 2.859268 3.547176 4.590053 6.245520 9.042707 15.039751
2025-11-30 2.286331 2.805432 3.511261 4.600023 6.371577 9.476833 16.571785
2025-12-07 2.183302 2.688399 3.379638 4.455210 6.227428 9.393487 16.878301
2025-12-14 2.096949 2.594538 3.281607 4.363718 6.178496 9.509900 17.790771
2025-12-21 2.027781 2.522380 3.212135 4.313347 6.197647 9.767452 19.193941
2025-12-28 1.984047 2.483789 3.189088 4.333878 6.341936 10.300932 21.628658
2026-01-04 1.955937 2.465824 3.194989 4.400585 6.575855 11.069696 25.281314
2026-01-11 1.928434 2.447219 3.198409 4.462579 6.807237 11.884441 29.777531
2026-01-18 1.893525 2.416174 3.180914 4.487359 6.968791 12.572198 34.478988
2026-01-25 1.848225 2.368031 3.134572 4.458991 7.020735 12.998690 38.490526
2026-02-01 1.784535 2.290592 3.039461 4.339931 6.876152 12.884701 39.600494
2026-02-08 1.734001 2.231288 2.970710 4.263802 6.814652 12.987732 42.158630
2026-02-15 1.710501 2.211577 2.963505 4.296388 6.985201 13.774433 50.307260
2026-02-22 1.683075 2.184962 2.944029 4.305338 7.105648 14.451041 59.348125